Jack S. Levy

Contact Information

Tel: (732) 932-1073
Fax: (732) 932-7170
Email: jacklevy@rci.rutgers.edu
Website: http://www.rci.rutgers.edu/~jacklevy/

Major Fields of Interest

Education

B.S., Physics, Harvey Mudd College (1970); M.A. & Ph.D., Political Science, University of Wisconsin-Madison (1972 & 1976)

Dissertation: "Military Power, Alliances, and Technology: An Analysis of Some Structural Determinants of International War Among the Great Powers" (1976)

Honors

Helen Dwight Reid Award (1977) for best dissertation in International Relations, 1975-76

Distinguished Scholar Award, Foreign Policy Analysis Section, International Studies Association, 2000

Grants and Fellowships

MacArthur Foundation Fellowship in International Peace and Security, 1987-89

National Science Foundation (subcontract), Data Development for Intl. Research, 1987-88

Research Fellowship, Stanford Center for International Security and Arms Control, 1986-87

National Endowment for the Humanities, Fellowship for Independent Study & Research, 1982-3

Ford Foundation Fellowship, 1972-73; 1973-74

NIMH Traineeship in Empirical Theory and Methodology, 1970-71; 1971-72

Academic Positions

Columbia University, Department of Political Science, Adjunct Professor. Fall 1996, Spring 1998, Spring 2000

New York University, Department of Politics, Adjunct Professor, Spring 1998

Yale University, Department of Political Science, Visiting Professor, Fall 1994

Harvard University, Department of Government, Visiting Professor; and Center for International Affairs and the Olin Institute, Faculty Associate, Spring 1993

Rutgers University, Professor, 1989; Board of Governors' Professor, 1997

University of Minnesota, Associate Professor, 1987-1989

Stanford University, Department of Political Science, Visiting Associate Professor, 1985-1986; Center for International Security and Arms Control, Visiting Scholar, 1986-87

University of Texas at Austin, Assistant Professor, 1977-84; Associate Professor, 1984-87

Tulane University, Department of Political Science, Visiting Assistant Professor, 1976-77

Courses Taught

Graduate: Theories of War and Peace, Foreign Policy Analysis, Research Design, Research Seminar

Undergraduate: Understanding War: Will the Second Horseman Ride Forever?, Causes of War, War and History, Introduction to International Relations, Theories of International Relations, American Foreign Policy, The International System, Undergraduate Research Seminar, Strategies of International Relations, National Security Policy

Publications

(books, edited books and special issues, articles and chapters, forthcoming papers, under review for publication, work in progress)

Books

War in the Modern Great Power System, 1495-1975. Lexington: University Press of Kentucky, 1983.

Edited Books and Special Issues of Journals

"Decision Theory.” A special issue of Synthese, 135, 2 (May 2003). Co-edited with Raymond Dacey.

Systems, Stability, and Statecraft: Essays on The International History of Modern Europe, by Paul W. Schroeder. Co-edited with David Wetzel and Robert Jervis. New York: Palgrave, 2004.

Articles and Chapters

 "What Do Great Powers Balance Against and When?” In T.V. Paul, James Wirtz, and Michel Fortmann, eds., Balance of Power Revisited: Theory and Practice in the 21st Century. Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 2004. Pp. 29-51.

 “Introduction” to Systems, Stability, and Statecraft: Essays on The International History of Modern Europe, by Paul W. Schroeder, ed. by David Wetzel, Robert Jervis, and Jack S. Levy. New York: Palgrave, 2004. Pp. 1-19. [with David Wetzel and Robert Jervis]

 "Crisis Mismanagement or Conflict of Interests? A Case Study of the Crimean War." In Zeev Maoz et al, eds., Multiple Paths to Knowledge in International Relations: Methodology in the Study of Conflict Management and Conflict Resolution. Lexington, Mass.: Lexington Books, 2004. Pp. 309-42. [with Joseph R. Gochal]

"Policy and Politics in Security Studies." In Edward D. Mansfield and Richard Sisson, eds., The Evolution of Political Knowledge: Democracy, Autonomy, and Conflict in Comparative and International Politics. Columbus: Ohio State University Press, 2004. Pp. 127-130.

 "The Power Transition Research Program: A Lakatosian Analysis.” In Colin Elman and Miriam Fendius Elman, eds., Progress in International Relations Theory: Appraising the Field. Cambridge: MIT Press, 2003. Pp. 109-57. [with Jonathan M. DiCicco]

 “Political Psychology and Foreign Policy." In David O. Sears, Leonie Huddy, and Robert Jervis, eds., Oxford Handbook of Political Psychology. New York: Oxford University Press, 2003. Pp. 253-84.

“The Trade Disruption Hypothesis and the Liberal Economic Theory of Peace.” In Gerald Schneider, Katherine Barbieri, and Nils Petter Gleditsch, eds., Globalisation and Armed Conflict. Lanham, MD: Rowman & Littlefield, 2003. Pp. 277-98. [with Katherine Barbieri]

“Aspects of Contemporary Decision Analysis.” Synthese, 135, 2 (May 2003), 165-69. [with Raymond Dacey].

“Applications of Prospect Theory to Political Science.” Synthese, 135, 2 (May 2003), 215-41.

“Economic Interdependence, Opportunity Costs, and Peace.” In Edward D. Mansfield, and Brian M. Pollins, eds., Economic Interdependence and International Conflict: New Perspectives on an Enduring Debate. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, 2003. Pp. 127-47.

"Balances and Balancing: Concepts, Propositions, and Research Design.” In John A. Vasquez and Colin Elman, eds., Realism and the Balancing of Power: A New Debate. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall, 2003. Pp. 128-53.

 "Necessary Conditions in Case Studies: Preferences, Constraints, and Choices in July 1914." In Gary Goertz and Harvey Starr, eds., Necessary Conditions: Theory, Methodology, and Applications. Lanham, MD: Rowman & Littlefield, 2002. Pp. 113-145.

 "Qualitative Methods in International Relations." In Michael Brecher and Frank P. Harvey, eds., Millennial Reflections on International Studies. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, 2002. Pp. 432-54.

 "Daniel Kahneman: Judgment, Decision, and Rationality." PS: Political Science and Politics, 35, 2 (June 2002): 271-73.

"War and Peace." In Walter Carlsnaes, Thomas Risse, and Beth A. Simmons, eds., Handbook of International Relations. London: Sage, 2002. Pp. 350-68.

"Democracy and Preventive War: Israel and the 1956 Sinai Campaign." Security Studies, 11, 2 (Winter 2001/2): 1-49. [with Joseph R. Gochal]

“Does War Impede Trade? A Response to Anderton and Carter.” Journal of Peace Research, 38, 5 (September 2001): 639-44. [with Katherine Barbieri]

"Explaining Events and Testing Theories: History, Political Science, and the Analysis of International Relations." In Colin Elman and Miriam Fendius Elman, eds., Bridges and Boundaries: Historians, Political Scientists, and the Study of International Relations. Cambridge: MIT Press, 2001. Pp. 39-83.

“Demographic Change and the Sources of International Conflict." In Myron Weiner and Sharon Stanton Russell, eds., Demography and National Security. New York: Berghahn Books, 2001. Pp. 62-105. [with Ronald R. Krebs]

"Theories of Interstate and Intrastate War: A Levels-of-Analysis Approach." In Chester A. Crocker, Fen Osler Hampson, and Pamela Aall, eds., Turbulent Peace: The Challenges of Managing International Conflict. Washington: United States Institute of Peace Press, 2001. Pp. 3-27.

"Continuity and Change in the Evolution of War." In Zeev Maoz and Azar Gat, eds., War in a Changing World. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, 2001. Pp. 15-48. [with Thomas C. Walker and Martin S. Edwards]

"The Implications of Framing and Loss Aversion for International Conflict." In Manus I. Midlarsky, ed., Handbook of War Studies II. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, 2000. Pp. 193-221.

"Reflections on the Scientific Study of War." In John A. Vasquez, ed., What Do We Know about War? Lanham, Maryland: Rowman and Littlefield, 2000. Pp. 319-27.

"War and Its Causes." In Charles W. Kegley, Jr., and Eugene R. Wittkopf, ed., The Global Agenda, 6th ed. New York: McGraw-Hill, 2000. Pp. 47-56.

"Power Shifts and Problem Shifts: The Evolution of the Power Transition Research Program." Journal of Conflict Resolution 42, 4 (December 1999): 675-704. [with Jonathan M. DiCicco] Reprinted in Paul F. Diehl, eds., War. 4 vols. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage, 2004. III:

"Sleeping With the Enemy: The Impact of War on Trade." Journal of Peace Research, 36, 4 (July 1999): 463-79. [with Katherine Barbieri]

"The Rise and Decline of the Anglo-Dutch Rivalry, 1609-1689." In William R. Thompson, ed., Great Power Rivalries. Columbia: University of South Carolina Press, 1999. Pp.172-200.

"Misperception and the Use of Force: A Commentary on Ralph White's 'American Acts of Force.'" Peace and Conflict: Journal of Peace Psychology, 4, 2 (July 1998): 129-36.

"The Causes of War and the Conditions of Peace." Annual Review of Political Science, 1 (June 1998): 139-66.

"From Commercial Competition to Strategic Rivalry to War: The Evolution of the Anglo-Dutch Rivalry, 1609-1652." In Paul F. Diehl, ed., The Dynamics of Enduring Rivalries. Urbana/ Champaign: University of Illinois Press, 1998. Pp. 29-63. [with Salvatore Ali]

"Contributions of Behavioral Decision Theory to Research in Political Science." Applied Psychology: an International Review, 47, 1 (January 1998): 29-44. [with Richard R. Lau]

"Prospect Theory and the Cognitive-Rational Debate." In Nehemia Geva and Alex Mintz, eds., Decisionmaking on War and Peace: The Cognitive-Rational Debate. Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner, 1997. Pp. 33-50.

"Too Important to Leave to the Other: History and Political Science in the Study of International Relations." International Security, 22, 1 (Summer 1997): 22-33.

"Prospect Theory, Rational Choice, and International Relations." International Studies Quarterly, 41, 1 (March 1997): 87-112. Reprinted in Paul F. Diehl, eds., War. 4 vols. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage, 2004. II:

"Contending Theories of International Conflict: A Levels-of- Analysis Approach." In Chester Crocker and Fen Hampson, eds., Managing Global Chaos: Sources of and Responses to International Conflict. Washington, D.C.: United States Institute of Peace, 1996. Pp. 3-24.

"Loss Aversion, Framing, and Bargaining: The Implications of Prospect Theory for International Conflict." International Political Science Review, 17, 2 (April 1996): 177-93. Reprinted in Frank Harvey and Ben Mor, eds., Conflict in World Politics: Advances in the Study of Crises, War, and Peace. London: Macmillan, 1998. Pp. 96-115.

"The Evolution of Militarized Interstate Disputes." In Stuart A. Bremer and Thomas R. Cusack, eds., The Process of War: Advancing the Scientific Study of War. Philadelphia: Gordon and Breach, 1996. Pp. 219-25.

"War in the Post-Cold War Era: Structural Perspectives on the Causes of War." In Charles W. Kegley, Jr., ed., The Global Agenda, 4th ed. New York: McGraw-Hill, 1995. Pp. 64-74. Reprinted with modifications in the 5th edition, 1998, pp. 47-57, as "Towards a New Millennium: Structural Perspectives on the Causes of War."

"The Theoretical Foundations of Paul W. Schroeder's International System." International History Review, 16, 4 (November 1994): 715-44.

"The Democratic Peace Hypothesis: From Description to Explanation." Mershon International Studies Review, 38, 2 (October 1994): 352-54.

"Learning and Foreign Policy: Sweeping a Conceptual Minefield." International Organization, 48, 2 (Spring 1994): 279-312.

"Learning from Experience in U.S. and Soviet Foreign Policy." In Manus I. Midlarsky, John A. Vasquez, and Peter Gladkov, eds., From Rivalry to Cooperation: Soviet and American Perspectives on the Post-Cold War Era. New York: HarperCollins, 1994. Pp. 56-86.

" Alliance Formation, Domestic Political Economy, and Third World Security." Jerusalem Journal of International Relations, 14, 4 (December 1992): 19-40. [with Michael N. Barnett]

"Diversionary Action by Authoritarian Regimes: Argentina in the Falklands/Malvinas Case." In Manus I. Midlarsky, ed. The Internationalization of Communal Strife. New York: Routlege, 1992. Pp. 118-146. [with Lily I. Vakili]

"An Introduction to Prospect Theory." Political Psychology, 13, 2 (June 1992): 171-186. Reprinted in Barbara Farnham, ed., Avoiding Losses/Taking Risks: Prospect Theory and International Conflict. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, 1994. Pp. 7-22.

"Prospect Theory and International Relations: Theoretical Applications and Analytical Problems." Political Psychology, 13, 2 (June 1992): 283-310. Reprinted in Barbara Farnham, ed., Avoiding Losses/Taking Risks: Prospect Theory and International Conflict. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, 1994. Pp. 119-46.

"The Role of Crisis Mismanagement in the Origins of World War I." In Alexander L. George, ed., Avoiding War: Problems of Crisis Management. Boulder, Col.: Westview, 1991. Pp. 62-102.

"Domestic Sources of Alliances and Alignments: The Case of Egypt, 1962-1973." International Organization, 45, 3 (Summer 1991): 369-395. [with Michael N. Barnett]

"Correspondence: Mobilization and Inadvertence in the July Crisis." International Security, 16, 1 (Summer 1991): 189-194.

"Long Cycles, Hegemonic Transitions, and the Long Peace." In Charles W. Kegley, Jr. ed., The Long Postwar Peace. New York: HarperCollins, 1991. Pp. 147-176.

"Preferences, Constraints, and Choices in July 1914." International Security, 15, 3 (Winter 1990-91): 151-186. Reprinted in Steven E. Miller, Sean M. Lynn-Jones, and Stephen Van Evera, eds., Military Strategy and the Origins of the First World War, rev. ed. (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1991), pp. 226-61.

"Base Stealers versus Power Hitters: A Nation-State Level Analysis of the Frequency and Seriousness of War." In Charles S. Gochman and Alan Ned Sabrosky, eds., Prisoners of War? Lexington, Mass.: Lexington Books, 1990. Pp. 43-56. [with T. Clifton Morgan]

"Big Wars, Little Wars, and Theory Construction." International Interactions, 16, 3 (1990): 215-224.

"The Causes of War: A Review of Theories and Evidence." In Philip E. Tetlock, Jo L. Husbands, Robert Jervis, Paul C. Stern, and Charles Tilly, eds. Behavior, Society, and Nuclear War, vol. I. New York: Oxford University Press (for the National Academy of Sciences/National Research Council), 1989. Pp. 209-333.

"The Diversionary Theory of War: A Critique." In Manus I. Midlarsky, ed., Handbook of War Studies. London: Unwin-Hyman, 1989. Pp. 259-288. Reprinted in Paul F. Diehl, eds., War. 4 vols. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage, 2004. II:

"Quantitative Studies of Deterrence Success and Failure." In Paul C. Stern, Robert Axelrod, Robert Jervis, and Roy Radner, eds., Perspectives on Deterrence. New York: Oxford University Press (for the National Academy of Sciences/National Research Council), 1989. Pp. 98-133.

"War and Perception." In Robert O. Matthews, Arthur G. Rubinoff, and Janice Gross Stein, eds., International Conflict and Crisis Management, 2nd ed. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice Hall, 1989. Pp. 45-52.

"When Do Deterrent Threats Work?" British Journal of Political Science 18 (October 1988): 485-512.

"Analytic Problems in the Identification of Wars." International Interactions, 14, 2 (1988): 181-186. Reprinted in Paul F. Diehl, eds., War. 4 vols. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage, 2004. I:

"Domestic Politics and War." Journal of Interdisciplinary History, 18, 4 (Spring 1988): 653-673.Reprinted in Robert I. Rotberg and Theodore K. Rabb, eds., The Origin and Prevention of Major Wars. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1989. Pp. 79-99.

Edward Rhodes, ed., International Relations: Introductory Readings. Dubuque, Iowa: Kendall/Hunt, 1992. Pp. 199-207. Revised printing (1998), pp. 239-247.

"Contending Theories of War." In Charles W. Kegley, Jr., and Eugene R. Wittkopf, eds., The Global Agenda, 2nd ed. New York: Random House, 1988. Pp. 54-62. Reprinted in 3rd ed., 1992, pp. 59-69, as "The Causes of War: Contending Theories."

"Declining Power and the Preventive Motivation for War." World Politics, 40, 1 (October 1987): 82-107. Reprinted in Paul F. Diehl, eds., War. 4 vols. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage, 2004. II

"Organizational Routines and the Causes of War." International Studies Quarterly, 30, 2 (June 1986): 193-222. Reprinted in Bruce Russett, Harvey Starr, and Richard Stoll, eds., Choices in World Politics. New York: W.H. Freeman, 1989. Pp. 150-180.

"The War-Weariness Hypothesis: An Empirical Test." American Journal of Political Science, 30, 1 (February 1986): 26-49. [with T. Clifton Morgan] Reprinted with changes in Margaret P. Karns, ed., Persistent Patterns and Emergent Structures in a Waning Century. New York: Praeger, 1986. Pp. 126-148.

"The Structure of the International System and the Frequency and Seriousness of War." In Margaret P. Karns, ed., Persistent Patterns and Emergent Structures in a Waning Century. New York: Praeger, 1986. Pp. 75-98. [with T. Clifton Morgan]

"Theories of General War." World Politics, 37, 3 (April 1985): 344-374.

"The Polarity of the System and International Stability: An Empirical Analysis." In Alan Ned Sabrosky, ed., Polarity and War: The Changing Structure of International Conflict. Boulder, Col.: Westview, 1985. Pp. 41-66.

"The Causes of the Iran-Iraq War." In James Brown and William P. Snyder, eds., TheRegionalization of War. New Brunswick, NJ: Transaction Books, 1985. Pp. 127-143. [with Michael Froelich]

"The Frequency and Seriousness of War: An Inverse Relationship?" Journal of Conflict Resolution, 28, 4 (December 1984): 731-749. [with T. Clifton Morgan]

"The Offensive/Defensive Balance of Military Technology: A Theoretical and Historical Analysis." International Studies Quarterly, 28, 2 (June 1984): 219-238. Reprinted in Richard K. Betts, ed. Conflict After the Cold War: Arguments on Causes of War and Peace. New York: Macmillan, 1994. Pp. 344-57; 2 nd ed., Longman, 2002, pp. 429-40; 2 nd ed updated, Pearson/Longman, 2005, pp. 411-22.

"Size and Stability in the Modern Great Power System." International Interactions, 10 (1984): 76-99.

"Misperception and the Causes of War: Theoretical Linkages and Analytical Problems." World Politics, 36, 1 (October 1983): 76-99. Reprinted in Paul F. Diehl, eds., War. 4 vols. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage, 2004. II:

"World System Analysis: A Great Power Framework." In William R. Thompson, ed., Contending Approaches to World System Analysis. Beverly Hills, CA: Sage, 1983. Pp. 183-201.

"The Contagion of Great Power War Behavior, 1495-1975." American Journal of Political Science, 26, 3 (August 1982): 562-584.

"Historical Trends in Great Power War, 1495-1975." International Studies Quarterly, 26, 2 (June 1982): 278-301. Reprinted with modifications in Melvin Small and J. David Singer, eds., International War. Homewood, Ill.: Dorsey Press, 1985. Pp. 20-26.

George A. Lopez and Michael S. Stohl, eds., International Relations. Washington, D.C.: CQ Press, 1989. Pp. 440-449. Peter A. Toma and Robert F. Gorman. International Relations. Pacific Grove, Calif.: Brooks-Cole, 1991. Pp. 240-244.

" Alliance Formation and War Behavior: An Analysis of the Great Powers, 1495-1975." Journal of Conflict Resolution, 25, 4 (December 1981): 581-614. Reprinted in John A. Vasquez and Marie T. Henehan, eds. The Scientific Study of Peace and War. New York: Macmillan/ Lexington, 1992. Chap. 1.

Encyclopedia Articles

"War : Causes and Patterns." In Neil J. Smelser and Paul B. Baltes, eds., International Encyclopedia of the Social and Behavioral Sciences. Oxford, UK: Pergamon, 2001. Pp. 16354-16357.

"War, Causes of." In Violence in America: An Encyclopedia, vol. 3. Ed. Ronald Gottesman and Richard Maxwell Brown. New York: Charles Scribner's Sons, 1999. Pp. 395-97.

Forthcoming Publications

“Militartechnologie, Politik und die Entwicklung der Kriegfuhrung.” (“Military Technology, Political Organization, and the Evolution of War.”) In Bernd Greiner, Christopher Daase, and Dierk Walter, eds, Die Zukunft des Krieges 1: Symmetrie und Asymmetrie im Kriege.

"Trading with the Enemy During Wartime: Theoretical Explanations and Historical Evidence." Security Studies . [with Katherine Barbieri].

“Politically-Motivated Opposition to War.” International Studies Review [with William Mabe, Jr.]

"Hegemonic Threats and Great Power Balancing in Europe, 1495-2000." Security Studies [with William R. Thompson]

Under Review for Publication

"Theory, Evidence, and Politics in the Evolution of Research Programs in International Relations." In Richard Ned Lebow and Mark Lichbach, eds., Political Knowledge and Social Inquiry.

Causal Explanations, Necessary Conditions, and Case Studies: World War I and the End of the Cold War. Co-edited with Gary Goertz.

Work in Progress

Book-length projects

 The Evolution of War [with William R. Thompson] Contract, Prentice-Hall.

Hegemonic Threats, Balancing, and War: The European Experience, 1490s-1990s [with William R. Thompson]

Power, Politics, and Perception: Essays on the Causes of War. Collection of my better essays on war.

"Handbook of Modern Great Power Wars, 1495-2000."

A book-length reference work on all 55-60 great power wars since 1495. For each war I include basic data, chronologies, an interpretive essay on the origins, escalation, and consequences of the war, and an annotated bibliography. A long-term project.

Article-length projects

"Balancing at Sea: Do States Coalesce Against Leading Maritime Powers?" [with William R. Thompson]

“Do States Ally Against Leading Powers or Rivals (or Both)?” [with William R. Thompson]

"When Do Democracies Fight Preventive Wars?" [with Joseph R. Gochal]

"Causal explanations, necessary conditions, and case studies: World War I and the end of the

Cold War" [with Gary Goertz]

"Politically-Motivated Opposition to War: A Comparative Study of the U.S. in the Quasi-War and the War of 1812" [with William Mabe, Jr.]

"Power Shifts and the Absence of Preventive War in the 1930s" [with Norrin Ripsman]

“Realism and Appeasement in the 1930s” [with Norrin Ripsman]

“Bayesian Equilibria of Power Shifting Games” [with Joseph Gochal]

“Time Horizons, Intertemporal Choice, and Discounting” (with Philip Streich)

"Liberalization and War: The English Commonwealth, the Dutch Republic, and the Origins of the First Anglo-Dutch War, 1652-54" [with Jonathan McFall]

"Ottoman Warfare in the Early Modern Great Power System"

Data and Codebooks

great power war data, 1495-1975 (in 1983 book); revised in

Codebook and Data on Great Power War, 1495-1815 (1989) [with T. Clifton Morgan and Patrick Judd]. Abbreviated version reprinted in DDIR-Update 4/2 (January 1990): 1-5.

great power alliance data, 1495-1975 (1981);

great power alliance data, 1490-2000 (2004) [with William R. Thompson]

Other Professional Activities

Conferences, Workshops, and Talks

“The Theory and History of Preventive War.” Colgate University, 15 October 2004. Chair and participant, Roundtable on "Systems, Stability, and Statecraft: The Contributions of Paul W. Schroeder to International Relations Theory." APSA 2004.

“Bayesian Equilibria and Shifting Power Bargaining Games.” APSA 2004. [with Joseph Gochal] Participant, Roundtable on “Causal Explanation, Necessary Conditions, and Case Studies,” APSA 2004.

Participant, workshop on "The Economic Analysis of Armed Conflict: Problems & Prospects." Social Science Research Council, Washington , D.C. , April 19-20, 2004 .

Participant, Roundtable Honoring John Mearsheimer, ISA 2004.

“Do States Ally Against Hegemonic Threats or Rivals (or Both)?” [with William R. Thompson]

ISA 2004

"Balancing at Sea."

APSA 2003

Peace Science 2003

“When Do Democracies Fight Preventive Wars?”

ISA-Budapest, June 2003.

Department of Political Science, University of Illinois, 24 September 2003.

ISA 2004 (and Chair of Panel on Preventive War)

Roundtable (Chair): "Theoretical and Historical Perspectives on Preventive War." APSA 2003.

“Military Technology, Political Organization, and the Evolution of War.” Conference on the The Transformation of Warfare, Hamburg Institute for Social Research, Hamburg, Germany, 15-17 May 2003.

“Preferences, Constraints, and Choices in July 1914.” New York University, Honors International Relations Program, 23 April 2003.

"Hegemonic Threats and Great Power Balancing in Europe, 1494/5-2000."

APSA 2002

Browne Center for International Politics, University of Pennsylvania, 14 November 2002.

University of California, San Diego, 4 December 2002

New York University, 14 April 2003

Columbia University, 28 April 2003

Roundtable (Chair): “Contingency and Determinism in Historical Explanation: The World War I Case.” ISA 2003

Workshops: Great Power Responses to American Predominance. Georgetown University, November 2002 – April 2003.

Commentator for Daniel Kahneman's plenary address, APSA 2002.

Editorial and Advisory Boards

International Studies Quarterly, 1992-94; 1994-1998; 1998-2003; 2004-

International Studies Review, 2003-

Mershon International Studies Review, 1993-98

Political Psychology, 1998-

American Political Science Review, 1993-95

World Politics, 1992-95; 1995-1998

Journal of Politics, 1998-2001

International History Review, 2000-2003

Prentice-Hall Studies in International Relations, 2001-

Palgrave series on Advances in Foreign Policy Analysis, 2002-

Lexington Press series on Innovations in the Study of World Politics

Program in Foreign Policy Decision Making, Texas A & M, 1993-

Rutgers Center for Historical Analysis, 1993-1999

External Review Committees

University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill (1996)

Cornell University (2002)

University of Colorado at Boulder, Program in International Affairs (2002)

Duke University (2005)

Reviewed Manuscripts and Proposals for

American Journal of Political Science, American Political Science Review, American Politics Research, Armed Forces and Society, Canadian Journal of Political Science, Conflict Management and Peace Science, European Journal of International Relations, International Interactions, International Organization, International Security, International Studies Quarterly, Journal of Conflict Resolution, Journal of Peace Research, Journal of Politics, Journal of Theoretical Politics, Mathematical Modeling, Political Psychology, Political Research Quarterly, Security Studies, Western Political Quarterly, Harry Frank Guggenheim Foundation, MacArthur Foundation, NSF-Political Science, NSF-Sociology, and various other granting agencies and publishers.

Membership and Offices in Professional Associations

American Political Science Association

Conflict Processes section: program chair, 1989; chair, committee on lifetime achievement award (2004-05)

International History and Politics section: program chair 2000, president, 2002-2004

International Society for Political Psychology

Governing Council 1993-95; Lasswell-Sanford Award Committee 1999, 2004

International Studies Association

Vice-President 2001-02;

Executive Committee 2001-2, 2002-3

Nominating Committee 1998-99, 2002-2003 (Chair)

Karl Deutsch Award Committee 1998-99, 1999-2001 (chair)

Chair, Scientific Study of International Processes Section, 2001-2003