Research

My research interests are wide ranging and only partially reflected in traditional print media. My early research focused on the sources of American foreign policy, specifically cognitive explanations of policy continuities. Since the mid-1980s, I have attempted to develop a “sectoral” explanation of the patterns of Third World development. With the fall of the Berlin Wall and the sudden addition of the post-socialist cases of late-late development, I jointed forces with Bela Greskovits, Doro Bohle and others at Central European University to revise my first version of sectoral analysis. Together we have redefined sectors to account for the rapidly changing character of global production, built datasets that permit quantitative testing of our approach across 100+ countries and engaged young scholars in a dozen interesting projects. Beyond normal science, I am also deeply engaged in two, related areas: the effort to understand the literal, rational, real-time process by which individuals in post-conflict communities select political “agreements” to live under (see Civic Engagement); and the design and implementation of Internet tools to facilitate participation, civic engagement and citizen effectiveness (see Web Work).

Publications

“The Political Economy of Sectors and Sectoral Change: Korea Then and Now ,” in Business and the State in Developing Countries, eds. Sylvia Maxfield and Ben Ross Schneider. Cornell University Press, 1997.

Winners and Losers: How Sectors Shape the Developmental Prospects of States . Cornell University Press, 1994.

"Counterinsurgency," The Oxford Companion to Politics of the World . Oxford University Press, 1993.

Ideas and Institutions: Developmentalism in Brazil and Argentina by Kathryn Sikkink, and Public Choices and Policy Change: The Political Economy of Reform in Developing Countries by Merilee Grindle and John Thomas. American Political Science Review 86:3 (September 1992).

The Legacy: The Vietnam War in the American Imagination . Editor and contributor. Beacon Press/Farrar Strauss, 1990 (reissued 1998).

Deadly Paradigms: The Failure of U.S. Counterinsurgency Policy . Princeton University Press, 1988.

"Sectors, States and Social Forces: Korea and Zambia Confront Economic Restructuring ," Comparative Politics 22:2 (January 1990). Reprinted in Developing Countries in the International Political Economy, ed. Stephen Haggard in the Library of International Political Economy, eds. Robert Keohane and Helen Milner (Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 1995).

Back in the USSR . With several co-authors. Macmillan, 1988.

"The Unlearned Lessons of Counterinsurgency." Political Science Quarterly 103 (Spring 1988).

"Undermined: The Implications of Mineral Export Dependence for State Formation in Africa ." Third World Quarterly (Summer 1986).

"Capturing the Mining Multinationals." International Organization 37:1 (Winter 1983). Reprinted in Portfolio: International Economic Perspectives, ed. Robert Dunn, Jr. (American University for the United States Information Agency, 1985); in Multinational Corporations: The Political Economy of Foreign Direct Investment, ed. Theodore Moran (Boston: Lexington Books, 1985); and in The International Political Economy of Natural Resources, ed. Mark Zacher in the Library of International Political Economy, eds. Robert Keohane and Helen Milner (Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 1993).

"Mineral Myths." Foreign Policy 47 (Summer 1982).

"The Wiehahn Commission Report and Industrial Conciliation Act." Notes and Documents, United Nations Center Against Apartheid (September 1979).

"After Wiehahn: New Forms of Control." Southern Africa 12:7 (September 1979).

Tse-Tse Fly Eradication and Its Land Use Implications . Washington , DC : Agency for International Development, August 1977.

Selected Papers and Datasets

Sectors Project Dataset I : Country exports aggregated by sector: Exports for 100 countries, 1980 to 1999, aggregated at the 2 digit SITC code level by sector (0, 1, 4, 22, 29, 21, 24, 26, 27, 28, 32, 33, 34, 35, 63, 66, 68, 23, 25, 5, 62, 64, 67, 69, 71, 73, 74, 78, 79, 54, 72, 75, 76, 87, 88, 26, 60, 61, 65, 77, 80, 81, 82, 83, 84, 85, 89). SPSS data table format.

"Coping with More Cooperation and More Competition: Third World Development Strategies for Meeting the Challenge of Greater Globalization .” Paper delivered to the Annual Meeting of the Korean Political Science Association, 17-20, 1994.

"The Perverse Paradox of Peace and the Predatory State." Paper presented at the 1993 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association. Washington , D.C. , September 2-5, 1993 .

"Is Africa Exceptional? Understanding Patterns of Stratification in the Third World ." Paper presented at the 1991 Annual Meeting of the African Studies Association. St. Louis, Missouri.

"Sectoral Analysis: Understanding Patterns of Stratification in the Third World ." Paper presented at the 1989 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association. Atlanta , Georgia .

"Understanding the Political Requirements of Economic Restructuring: Zambia and Korea ." Paper presented at the 1987 Annual Meeting of the African Studies Association. Denver , Colorado .

"Getting Ahead: A Sectoral Explanation of Third World States' Differing Fortunes in the International Division of Labor." Paper presented at the 1987 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association. Chicago , Illinois .

"State Formation in an International Setting: The Perspective of Sectoral Analysis." Paper presented at the 1987 Annual Meeting of the International Studies Association. Washington , D.C.

"The Unlearned Lessons of Counter-Insurgency." Paper presented at the 1987 Annual Meeting of the International Studies Association.

"Undermined: The Consequences of Mineral Export Dependence for State Formation in Africa ." Paper presented at the Joint 1985 Annual Meetings of the African Studies and Middle Eastern Studies Associations. New Orleans , Louisiana .

"American Security Assistance and the Continuing Crisis in Zaire ." Paper presented at the 1982 Annual Meeting of the African Studies Association. Washington , D.C.

"Capturing the Mineral Multinationals: Political Advantage or Disadvantage?" 1982 Annual Third World Conference. Chicago , Illinois .

"Independence or Dependence? Nationalization Reconsidered." Joint Harvard-M.I.T. African Study Group, Center for International Affairs, Harvard University . February 25, 1982 .

"How Strategic Are Southern Africa 's Strategic Minerals?" Harvard-M.I.T. African Studies Group, Center for International Affairs, Harvard University . February 3, 1981

Selected Inited Lectures

“Next Steps: Latecomers’ Prospects in the Global Economy.” SSRC Working Group on Leading Sector Coalitions and Development Paths, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, 20-22 October, 2002.

“Can Sectoral Analysis Become a General Theory of Late Development?” SSRC Working Group on “State Capacity and the Leading Sector of Economy in Post-Socialist Eastern Europe ,” Central European University , Budapest , Hungary , 4-5 February 2002.

"Winners and Losers: Who Gets Ahead in the International Economy, Who Falls Behind, and Why." Jackson School of International Studies , University of Washington . Seattle , Washington , 17 February, 1995 .

" Controlling the Sword: Constitutional Provisions for Establishing and Maintaining Civilian Control of the Military in a New Ethiopia . " Testimony to the symposium "On the Making of the New Ethiopian Constitution." Addis Ababa , Ethiopian, 17-21 May, 1993.

"Rethinking Comparative Political Economy." Workshop on International Political Economy, Institute of War and Peace Studies , Columbia University . New York, N.Y., March 26, 1992.

"Toward a New Comparative Political Economy of Third World Development." Research Program in Development Studies, Woodrow Wilson School , Princeton University . Princeton, N.J., 24 October 1991.

" Dimensions of the New World Order: Security." Speech to the Center for Politics and Policy of the Claremont Graduate School Biennial Policy Conference, Dimensions of the New World Order. Claremont, California, 16-17 October 1991.

" Military Paradigms and Force Posture." Plenary address, United States Military Academy Senior Conference, Unburdening the Past: Forging America's Army for the Twenty-First Century. West Point, N.Y., 6-8 June 1991.

" The Army and the Changing Utility of Force." Peace and Security Seminar, Institute for Social Research, University of Michigan . Ann Arbor, Michigan, 11 April 1991.

"A Theory of State Interests and Action: Motivating Sectoral Analysis." Program on International Politics, Economics and Security (PIPES), University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, November 1, 1990.

"Limits on Third World Economic Restructuring." Center for International Studies, School of International Relations, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, October 24, 1990.

"Sectors, States and Social Forces: Toward a New Comparative Political Economy of Development." The Workshop on Political Economy, International Studies and Overseas Programs, UCLA, Los Angeles , October 23, 1990 .

"Strategic Resources: Source of Power or Vulnerability?" Seventh Annual DARSP Conference, Problems and Prospects for the Third World in the 1990s, Defense Intelligence College, Washington, D.C. June 27-28, 1989.

"The Incoherence of American Foreign Policy." United States Information Service, American Cultural Center. Colombo, Sri Lanka, June 11, 1986.

"Tea to Textiles: Can Sri Lanka Shift the Sectoral Base of Its Political Economy?" University of Colombo . Colombo, Sri Lanka, June 3, 1986.

"Sectoral Determinants of Third World States' Capacity to Plan and Implement Export-Led Growth Strategies." Economic Development Center , Korea University. Seoul, May 5, 1986.

"No Crisis: The U.S., South Africa and Strategic Mineral 'Dependence'." South African Institute of International Affairs. Johannesburg, South Africa, October 5, 1983.